Notices by DK (dk_dharmaraj@poa.st), page 9
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A kike and a pajeet walk into a bar. The bartender says, "What kind of sick fucking joke are your societies that they put you in charge?". And the kike and the pajeet laughed
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My preliminary take is that they're trying to get ahead of negative press drawing the same conclusion. Germany's investigators pointedly declined to blame Russia a few days ago, and even regime stenographers have noted the incongruity of Russia undertaking the repair work.
RT: https://poa.st/objects/023427f6-7b87-4beb-a333-6b421f36e29b
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Seymour "Limited Hangout" Hersh says he got the scoop on how USA blew up Nord Stream 2 (American divers laid remote bombs on the pipeline in June, Norway [!] assisted by airdropping a sonar buoy that triggered the bombs)
seymourhersh.substack.com/p/how-america-took-out-the-nord-stream
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@sickburnbro @General_Ursus Yeah some smaller units can probably slip away but not the whole 20k (30k?) or whatever, any big movement like that will be torn apart by aviation and artillery. They will need to attempt a breakout if they want to escape.
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@General_Ursus Individual units can probably get across, but not the garrison as a whole. If they want to preserve that manpower, they're going to have to attempt a breakout
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1km overnight advance into the south of Bakhmut Brothers HH
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Good morning
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@General_Ursus Let's see what the geolocation shows. The issue is that they really don't have any good way to withdraw. Per OP and previous reports, the last good road leading west is under Russian control. There's one hinky country road but it is unsuitable for mass egress. Increasingly looking like the entire garrison will be captured or killed.
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@InceptionState @Boomerman If it's true, the NATO soldiers would mostly be Polish with German a distant second
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This is allegedly Mossad's internal analysis of losses on each side. I can't speak to the provenance, but the numbers pretty much bang on match my back of the envelope estimates
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China didn't send the balloon to see anything its satellites couldn't already see. China sent the balloon to test just how fucked up America is. And America failed the test. Badly.
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The advance kind of looks like a salient on this map, but I'm quite certain that most if not all of the forest south of the road is "grey zone"/no man's land. UA cannot spare manpower to defend sparsely populated woods; they need everyone they can spare from the defense of Bakhmut manning the fortifications at Chasov Yar. Conversely, all RU really needs in that area is a light screen along the tree line. Point being, don't expect UA to even attempt a maneuver through that forest aimed at cutting off the Russian vanguard.
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RU currently advancing on the intersection through which the final viable supply route into Bakhmut passes
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>irl CM:BS map
RT: https://poa.st/objects/7b54c013-c24c-494b-b10b-1027382722e6
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These maps are ahead of events by a couple of days up to a week or so but portray the essence of the current strategic situation. Basically, as a result of taking Soledar, RU is now able to press on Seversk from three sides simultaneously. There is thus no ground line of communication between Seversk and Bakhmut, the garrisons of which are currently in the process of being encircled and defeated in detail. Bakhmut can now only be supplied by one motor-only (no rail) road without risking Russian battery fire.
Fog of war is thick in the south, very bloody battles continue in Ugledar
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USA designates Wagner Group an "international criminal organization" under US law
Wagner CEO Prigozhin comments:
"Finally, now the Wagner PMC and the Americans are colleagues. Our relationship from now on can be called 'a showdown of criminal clans.'"
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*blocks your path*
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It's irresponsibly early to pretend to "analyze" this movement, but if we make the assumption that there is indeed a strategic offensive currently underway aimed at Zaporozhie, the likely Russian plan is to force UA to choose between (1) defense in depth of their garrisons along the eastern bank of the Dnieper River and/or their strategic depths between Donbass and the Dnieper; or (2) timely reinforcement of their primary fortified lines in Donbass
Either way, the Ukrainian lines in the east can expect to start getting rolled up from the south
RT: https://poa.st/objects/8474ae79-4b8a-4a6a-b842-c4434bd7f574
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Looks like the Pentagon has the same read @officalNIGR and I do. Most climactic battle of the war shaping up in Zaporozhie on a drive to Melitopol
rfi.fr/en/international-news/20230120-ukraine-should-focus-on-preparing-offensive-not-bakhmut-battle-us-official
RT: https://poa.st/objects/7c1b4326-883f-4ee1-be3d-665cb477ecc5
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