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1. Shadowman311 (shadowman311@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Oct-2023 12:14:47 JST Shadowman311

   Striker has a pretty good take on the Israel situation:

   A full invasion of Gaza is going to be hard for Israel.

   If I had to guess, Hamas seems primarily dedicated to capturing prisoners because they plan to copy the highly successful urban defense strategy that Azov Battalion used in Mariupol.

   1. They will entrench themselves in dwellings on the street level, where they can fire on Israeli tanks and infantry from different angles — the roof and the basement.

   2. They will have captured Israelis tied up in every building, which may deter Israel from just leveling everything in the city. If the IDF bombs the buildings and kills the Israelis anyway, then this will be highly controversial and demoralizing for their supporters.

   3. Hezbollah is a real wild card. If the IDF is bogged down engaged in slow and difficult urban warfare in the South, this is almost certain to trigger an attack from the North. At this point, expect a direct, poorly planned and extremely unpopular (in the US) American intervention. Who knows what the hell happens next.

   • givenup (givenup@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Oct-2023 12:14:47 JST givenup

     in reply to
     @Shadowman311 well let's pray for the best outcome ;3 that being the complete annihilation of israel.
   • John Rando (john_rando@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Oct-2023 12:14:47 JST John Rando

     in reply to

     • givenup

     @givenup @Shadowman311 Thing is, if the US gets involved they’re gonna have to pull troops from somewhere else. The military is already stretched pretty thin, and they aren’t meeting their recruitment numbers. They’d have to give up any pretense of being able to protect Taiwan from China if there were an invasion.

     I still can’t quite wrap my head around how the IDF got their shit pushed in by the aloha snackbars. The way they just fled and let their tanks and personnel carriers fall into the hands of their enemies. The experts said they were one of the best militaries in the world. I guess things have changed.

     Kenny Blankenship likes this.
   • Shadowman311 (shadowman311@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Oct-2023 12:14:52 JST Shadowman311

     in reply to

     • John Rando
     • givenup
     @john_rando @givenup From the outside looking in, Israel seems to be suffering from the same affliction every developed nation is facing, that their Youth despise the current state of the country and don't really see much future in the way things exist now, just look back to what happened there in July. Could be those men and women just went "fuck it, let em have em, I don't want to die for this country" and left their posts, it's chaos anyways not like anyone would really know.
   • Solbera ✝️ (solbera@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Oct-2023 12:37:42 JST Solbera ✝️

     in reply to

     • John Rando
     • givenup

     @john_rando @givenup @Shadowman311 Recruitment numbers being strained is the objective, how else would you force a draft to send White men to the war machine meat grinder while the infinite military age male “immigrants” rape and pillage the land.

   • givenup (givenup@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Oct-2023 12:37:42 JST givenup

     in reply to

     • John Rando
     • Solbera ✝️
     @Solbera @john_rando @Shadowman311 and i still think numbers will fall well below expectations in a draft, i got this feeling that a lot more young men than ever are like 'fuck that'
     Kenny Blankenship likes this.
   • スカイラー🎄🇷🇺 :z: (skylar@misskey.yandere.love)'s status on Sunday, 08-Oct-2023 12:44:07 JST スカイラー🎄🇷🇺 :z:

     in reply to

     • John Rando
     • Solbera ✝️
     • givenup
     • sapphire
     @john_rando @Shadowman311 @Solbera @givenup @sapphire if we consider the average zoomer....congrats glowniggers, you just froze a checking account containing negative 43 dollars after the bank charged 2 overdraft fees yesterday.
     maybe show up at the address on his driver's license? whoops he hasn't lived there since he got laid off when the coof started.
     >NOOOO WHY DIDN'T HE WAIT IN LINE FOR 2 HOURS AND PAY $55 TO UPDATE IT EVERY TIME HE MOVED LIKE A GOOD GOY????
     eventually you find the guy: he weighs 450 pounds, reeks of pot, and hasn't been able to walk down the stairs of his apartment building for almost a year.
     Kenny Blankenship likes this.
   • sapphire (sapphire@shortstacksran.ch)'s status on Sunday, 08-Oct-2023 12:44:08 JST sapphire

     in reply to

     • John Rando
     • Solbera ✝️
     • givenup
     @givenup @Shadowman311 @Solbera @john_rando Problem is, its not like Vietnam where fighting age men still had something to lose if they draft dodged. What are you going to do against a 24 year old with no wife, no kids, and a remote job? Dude's gonna be gone as soon as he gets the card in the mail and you're gonna have to manhunt him or move on to the next one since you don't have men to hunt with
   • John Rando (john_rando@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Oct-2023 12:44:08 JST John Rando

     in reply to

     • Solbera ✝️
     • givenup
     • sapphire

     @sapphire @Shadowman311 @Solbera @givenup Well one way they would go after them is to freeze all their bank accounts. After all, we have this massive surveillance state now thanks to the patriot act. He’d also have to ditch his sailfoam, which might be a big ask given how addicted some of the zoomers are to them. He might have better luck if he somehow manages to convince the Amish to hide him in exchange for manual labor on their farms.

     Then there’s the warmongering boomer relatives who will try to shame them into fighting for uncle Scam so they can keep collecting their fat social security checks. If that doesn’t work they’ll dime them out to the feds.

     Given how determined Ukraine is to draft every 12 year old boy and 60 year old man, if desperate enough I believe the US gov. will make the effort to shanghai men into the army. They may try to press local law enforcement into doing the work, or they may federalize the NG units to do it. They will recruit non-citizen goons with promises of citizenship if they help abduct American men into the military. You may think the 2nd amendment would prevent that, but it doesn’t work unless people are willing to pull the trigger. Thus far they have shown no will to do so.

   • givenup (givenup@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Oct-2023 12:44:09 JST givenup

     in reply to

     • John Rando
     • Solbera ✝️
     • sapphire
     @sapphire @Solbera @Shadowman311 @john_rando i dunno, i guess they'll figure something out or they won't, let's just see what happens, cuz i don't think ti's gonna go as bad as we think or as good as they think in the end, BUT i can dream.
   • Solbera ✝️ (solbera@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Oct-2023 12:44:10 JST Solbera ✝️

     in reply to

     • John Rando
     • givenup

     @givenup @john_rando @Shadowman311 I hope that every man they conscript against his will shoots their commanding officers first opportunity.

   • sapphire (sapphire@shortstacksran.ch)'s status on Sunday, 08-Oct-2023 12:44:10 JST sapphire

     in reply to

     • John Rando
     • Solbera ✝️
     • givenup
     @Solbera @Shadowman311 @givenup @john_rando how are they gonna conscript someone against their will? With what MP force?