Conversation
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@DK_Dharmaraj @Terry @Tripp
My friend at Bakhmut just got back to me. He says he feels the rides changing in the battle. Though I don't know how much he would know being so close. He said a lot of people of been killed, though none of his team so far.
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@NotImportant @Terry @Tripp UA infamously underreports KIAs by several times (at least 2-3 but probably more like 5-10) because they leave the bodies of their servicemen out in the field. that way they can be declared "missing" or "deserted" and their families don't have to get paid. there are reams and reams of Ukrainian social media posts/pages/groups from families asking where their "missing" sons are
also I could believe 75 Russian casualties a day, but not KIAs. divide that by 3ish to get RU KIAs
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@DK_Dharmaraj @Terry @Tripp He says the Ukes have reported 50 KIA a day as well as 100 non fatally wounded a day, against a reported 75 Russian KIA a day in the last 2 weeks. He says the number of Uke KIA a day as decreased from 100 a day in the fall.
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@NotImportant @Terry @Tripp it's a universal rule of warfare that enemy casualties are overreported, hits and sometimes even just shots get recorded as victories even if they're glancing or they miss. not sure what you mean by "benefit of the doubt" though, UA was still claiming 10k KIA moments before van der Leyden and the Western press let it slip that the actual death toll was at least an order of magnitude higher
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@DK_Dharmaraj @Terry @Tripp I willing to give the UA some benefit of the doubt in Bakhmut, due to Russians attacking a somewhat dug in defensible position, though I do suspect Russian casualties to be over reported, especially KIA. It's not like they can check on them.