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1. Kenny Blankenship (dw2@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Jan-2023 07:32:25 JST Kenny Blankenship
   Gotta think the Ukie Death toll is over 250K by this point
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   • Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb: (trevorgoodchild@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Jan-2023 07:37:45 JST Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb:

     in reply to
     @DW2 A good quick and dirty heuristic is simply to take what the US is claiming as Russian Federation casualties (KIA/WIA) and simply flip "RF" to "Ukraine"
     
     This seems to match Russian MoD reports as well
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   • Kenny Blankenship (dw2@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Jan-2023 07:39:38 JST Kenny Blankenship

     in reply to

     • Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb:
     @TrevorGoodchild the fuckin hohols have thrown 60K into Bakhmut alone. It's gotten to the point they had to postpone their planned counter-offensive around Zaporizhzhia.
   • Kenny Blankenship (dw2@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Jan-2023 07:40:30 JST Kenny Blankenship

     in reply to

     • GrantTK :nv::sonnenrad:
     @GrantTK Tbf a lot of those guys don't wanna fight, but they and their families are killed if they desert. I've literally seen of video of that happening
   • GrantTK :nv::sonnenrad: (granttk@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Jan-2023 07:40:31 JST GrantTK :nv::sonnenrad:

     in reply to
     @DW2 Imagine dying for Larry Fink because you're in denial of the fact that you're ethnically a Russian.
   • Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb: (trevorgoodchild@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Jan-2023 07:49:29 JST Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb:

     in reply to

     • Sick Burn, Bro
     @sickburnbro @DW2 There is a level of pain that can break anyone collectively (there will be individual holdouts that can be isolated and dealt with). The Japanese experience demonstrates this. Russia will simply continue to turn the dial up to that level.
     
     This isn't a mystery; they have openly stated that it is their policy. And they have the resources to back it.
     
     So it goes :putin1:
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   • Sick Burn, Bro (sickburnbro@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Jan-2023 07:49:30 JST Sick Burn, Bro

     in reply to

     • Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb:
     @TrevorGoodchild @DW2 lol "polls say most of ukranians want to keep fighting" but I'm sure they aren't cooking those numbers, right?
   • Sick Burn, Bro (sickburnbro@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Jan-2023 07:49:30 JST Sick Burn, Bro

     in reply to

     • Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb:
     • Sick Burn, Bro
     @TrevorGoodchild @DW2 I've been saying "when will the Ukrainian morale snap?"
     
     the baltic mindset is ok with grinding death, and is ok with being lied to - but what about both at the same time?
   • Sick Burn, Bro (sickburnbro@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 08-Jan-2023 08:55:10 JST Sick Burn, Bro

     in reply to

     • Trevor Goodchild:verified::pondering_orb:
     @TrevorGoodchild @DW2 for sure. But I'm thinking about how rapid changes in mental state can induce breaks. Similar to the known phenomenon of people being at higher risk of suicide when they start antidepressants.
     
     So if ukranians were ok with the grinding death, but they've swallowed the "we're winning" lie - and then it turns out they've had horrendous amounts of death AND they're losing?
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