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of course they're going to do this, but unless there is some nuclear provocation or equivalent the headlines in September October November are on track to involve major territorial losses for Ukraine in Donbass and Kharkov regions
they can try to spin that as much as they like but White Americans are fat, lazy, demoralized, but not stupid
RT: https://poa.st/objects/a902b1f7-adaa-4ba2-b462-5d163b2ce2e9
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@Zoomerman88 @InceptionState the CIA News Network (CNN) will say whatever the CIA tells it to say. but there are costs to the CIA if it tells CNN to say things that are demonstrably false
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@InceptionState American media has been upfront (in a way that surprised me, hence this thread) about the fact that everything except strategic reserves has been tapped out, and they are not going to tap strategic reserves
meanwhile, Russia boasts about increasing production. this may be false ofc but there is no indication that it is. not sure where you're getting the idea that Russia has scaled down HE expenditure
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@DK_Dharmaraj @InceptionState American media needs to be a bit accurate since the ones making the decisions gets a lot of their information from it. I also wouldn't rule out that they were being optimistic with their domestic reporting.
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@InceptionState Bakhmut was the biggest battle of the war and thus of the 21st century so far. Russian performance was more than adequate, really the battle was over once Soledar was taken and mop up began once they crossed the Bakhmutka river.
NATO is out of everything, and incapable of ramping up industrial production to even meet Ukraine's daily needs (which are already 1/10 of Russia's current expenditures). my point in OP is precisely to expect at least one major strategic penetration unless say Poland gets directly involved
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@DK_Dharmaraj It's really hard to estimate without better knowledge of how deep NATO stockpiles are, and what percentage of Russian shells are still usable after being left to rot for decades. Both sides seem to be reducing their shell expenditure in recent months, which is not conducive to successful offensives on hardened positions.
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@DK_Dharmaraj I'm a bit skeptical of whether a Russian offensive will fare any better than the Ukrainian one. The last Russian offensive led to a drawn-out slog in Bakhmut, and that was with the better(?) Wagner troops primarily leading the charge. The only way I could see that happening is a complete collapse in Ukrainian morale, or a steep drop in Western support. Our politicians have sunk so much political capital and money into Ukraine at this point though, that the latter seems unlikely.