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1. CrunkLord420 (crunklord420@clubcyberia.co)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Nov-2024 12:52:00 JST CrunkLord420
   When Trump lost in 2020 it was over. I thought the Trump 2024 people were nuts. I never let myself really believe it was gonna happen. I barely watched the cycle. Nothing ever happens.
   
   Now it finally hits me. I hope Trump really has an enemy list.
   • Ethical Pedophile (blinkrape@posting.lolicon.rocks)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Nov-2024 12:59:03 JST Ethical Pedophile

     in reply to

     • COOL_FREE_RINGTONES
     @s8n @crunklord420 polymarket is a garbage metric, it's just gambling. you might as well pull up some random chart on who wants to kill jews.
     
     Just wait for the retards to cheat in the middle of the night and then see if it matters
   • CrunkLord420 (crunklord420@clubcyberia.co)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Nov-2024 12:59:03 JST CrunkLord420

     in reply to

     • COOL_FREE_RINGTONES
     • Ethical Pedophile
     @BlinkRape @s8n polymarket hasn't been proven wrong yet. It beat the polls. The change is just a reflection of the odds being realized in real time.
   • COOL_FREE_RINGTONES (s8n@posting.lolicon.rocks)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Nov-2024 12:59:04 JST COOL_FREE_RINGTONES

     in reply to
     @crunklord420 he's probably going to do nothing then pardon a bunch of niggers at the end of his term again
   • COOL_FREE_RINGTONES (s8n@posting.lolicon.rocks)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Nov-2024 13:07:14 JST COOL_FREE_RINGTONES

     in reply to

     • Ethical Pedophile
     @crunklord420 @BlinkRape I feel like blink is right because "odds" don't make sense in the case of an election with a foregone conclusion. I haven't put much thought into the difference between determinate and inteterminate elections but they're different
   • CrunkLord420 (crunklord420@clubcyberia.co)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Nov-2024 13:07:14 JST CrunkLord420

     in reply to

     • COOL_FREE_RINGTONES
     • Ethical Pedophile
     @s8n @BlinkRape markets are where money and information asymmetry meet.
   • CrunkLord420 (crunklord420@clubcyberia.co)'s status on Thursday, 07-Nov-2024 06:54:00 JST CrunkLord420

     in reply to

     • COOL_FREE_RINGTONES
     • Ethical Pedophile
     • PunishedD
     @PunishedD @BlinkRape @s8n you can watch the information asymmetry resolve in real time
   • PunishedD (punishedd@clubcyberia.co)'s status on Thursday, 07-Nov-2024 06:54:01 JST PunishedD

     in reply to

     • COOL_FREE_RINGTONES
     • Ethical Pedophile
     @crunklord420 @s8n @BlinkRape O RLY
   • CrunkLord420 (crunklord420@clubcyberia.co)'s status on Thursday, 07-Nov-2024 06:54:41 JST CrunkLord420

     in reply to

     • COOL_FREE_RINGTONES
     • Ethical Pedophile
     • PunishedD
     @PunishedD @BlinkRape @s8n https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/theta.asp
   • CrunkLord420 (crunklord420@clubcyberia.co)'s status on Thursday, 07-Nov-2024 07:07:15 JST CrunkLord420

     in reply to

     • COOL_FREE_RINGTONES
     • Ethical Pedophile
     • PunishedD
     @PunishedD @BlinkRape @s8n The time decay you're looking at is the market realizing new information as it happens. The price is odds with the information that currently exists, as new information is added the price change is realized in real-time. The earlier you enter into the contract you're exposing yourself to more unrealized information. Now that we're post-event we're 100% realized.
   • PunishedD (punishedd@clubcyberia.co)'s status on Thursday, 07-Nov-2024 07:07:16 JST PunishedD

     in reply to

     • COOL_FREE_RINGTONES
     • Ethical Pedophile
     @crunklord420 @BlinkRape @s8n Uh huh, like predicting you're going to get punched when the guy's fist is already flattening your nose.
     
     Also theta should resolve linearly over time, not move in the opposite direction of the strike price at t=0.