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1. DK (dk_dharmaraj@poa.st)'s status on Sunday, 01-Jan-2023 05:02:15 JST DK
   Bakhmut is currently being enveloped from the north (Soledar) and south (Toretsk). Ukrainian sources are currently reporting heavy fighting as far west as the rural township of Ivanivske (approximately where "Krasne" is located on this map). The situation immediately to the north of Soledar is particularly bad for UA, as RU has captured the dominant heights along the highway, putting more or less the entirety of Soledar under Russian fire control. It's still too early to say that Bakhmut is "about to fall," but the situation is increasingly desperate for the Ukrainian separatists, who are sadly still shoving largely untrained conscripts (increasingly from Lwow and the western regions, having run out of TerDef units from the east) into the meat grinder even as the supply lines into the city are being choked off.
   
   Since I'm here and discussing the war, not that I expect him to honor the terms of our "clout bet," but I am going to go ahead and declare victory over Midwit Dave (whose @ isn't showing up in the autopopulating field, feel free to tag him below). The Ukraine has completely exhausted any residual strategic initiative from its late summer-early fall offensives: since early November they have been steadily pushed back along the entire line of contact in Donbass, unable to advance past Liman in the north and unable to capitalize on the Russian withdrawal from Kherson in the south (indeed, the Ukraine is taking casualties in Kherson city on a daily basis, from Russian artillery positioned on the heights just across the river; these losses include Poles, Americans, etc.). Their rear areas are in shambles, their economy is nonexistent, their power grid is not functional, and the ridiculous claims about a "suspension of mobilization" are a sick joke as they scrape the bottom of the manpower barrel. Just yesterday, Romanian border patrol discovered the corpses of six Ukrainian men in the Carpathian mountains, who had attempted to flee forced conscription but died of exposure in the cold.
   
   So yes, I do declare Total Aryan Victory in my clout bet. Over the past three months the Ukraine has traded the lives of tens of thousands of its soldiers, and the literal entirety of the global NATO ammunition stockpile, for a few thousand square kilometers of mostly strategically irrelevant terrain, which it is already more or less unable to defend. Now winter is here, 300,000 fresh Russian reserves are about to hit the theater, and a massive Russian convoy (pic related) is traveling from Mariupol in the south. The war will continue as long as the jew war criminal Zelensky continues to feed goyisch lives into the wood chipper, but its outcome has never been in doubt.
   
   RT: https://poa.st/objects/6bdda741-5e0c-4214-9177-d30731053bca