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1. Chineseman 🟥 #nobot (iamal_pharius@poa.st)'s status on Saturday, 25-Feb-2023 00:59:55 JST Chineseman 🟥 #nobot

   in reply to
   Fed rate futures (feb) show so that the market believe there is a rate cut this year. But to drop the 6.4% schizo CPI number down to 2% target without large hikes is impossible.
   
   YOY CPI will very probably stay there for the rest of the year if Powell gives up by march and announces a success. stagflation and depression keywords will be banned and blamed on someone(china,russia,conspiracy theorist).
   
   Fed still has 2.6 trillion dollars of housing bonds on its books. They might hike rates till all of it rots on their hand but very unlikely (no one is gonna buy that knowing it will fail).